Loading market data...
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Back to HomeStock AnalysisAll PepsiCo coverage

PepsiCo (PEP) Q2 2026: EPS +137%, Core Margin −40bp, PBNA Volume −4%

Share

PepsiCo's reported earnings per share went from $0.92 to $2.18 in a single year, a 137% jump — and only a sliver of it is a genuine improvement in the operating business. The comparison base contains $1,860 million of pre-tax impairment charges taken against the Rockstar and Be & Cheery brands in Q2 2025; strip that out and the company's own core operating margin actually fell 40 basis points, to 16.8% from 17.2%. On PepsiCo's core constant currency basis — the measure that removes both the impairment base effect and the currency tailwind — earnings per share grew 1%. Revenue rose 6.4% to $24,181 million, but organic revenue grew only 2.4%, with foreign exchange and 2025 acquisitions supplying the remaining four points. For a defensive staple whose entire investment case rests on pricing power compounding quietly, the number that matters most this quarter is not the EPS headline but PepsiCo Beverages North America's 4% organic volume decline — quantified in section 2-2 below.

Sourcing note: the Form 10-Q reports GAAP figures only. Core operating profit, core margin, core EPS, core constant currency EPS and organic revenue and volume are non-GAAP measures that appear in PepsiCo's Q2 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1, July 9, 2026), not in the 10-Q, and are attributed to that release wherever cited below.


1. Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet

1-1. Principal asset movements

Item12/27/2025 ($M)6/13/2026 ($M)Change %
Cash and cash equivalents9,15910,251+11.9%
Short-term investments371465+25.3%
Accounts and notes receivable11,50613,496+17.3%
Inventories5,8456,734+15.2%
Prepaid expenses and other current assets1,0681,829+71.3%
Property, plant and equipment, net29,90529,771−0.4%
Amortizable intangible assets, net1,2191,187−2.6%
Goodwill18,91619,093+0.9%
Other indefinite-lived intangibles13,84713,990+1.0%
Total assets107,399112,189+4.5%

Source: Form 10-Q, condensed consolidated balance sheet, 24 weeks ended June 13, 2026.

The $4,790 million increase in total assets is overwhelmingly a working-capital story, and a seasonal one. Receivables grew $1,990 million and inventories $889 million against half-year revenue growth of 7.3% — receivables expanding more than twice as fast as sales. PepsiCo's fiscal year is back-half weighted for cash collection, so a first-half build is normal; but the gap between 17.3% receivable growth and 7.3% revenue growth is wide enough to be worth tracking in the third quarter, particularly given management's own disclosure that retailers and buying groups are "shifting traditional value propositions" and pressuring shelf space.

Property, plant and equipment fell slightly in net terms despite a gross balance that rose to $61,950 million from $60,909 million, because accumulated depreciation climbed $1,175 million. Half-year depreciation and amortization of $1,639 million now exceeds capital spending of $1,266 million — a capex-to-D&A ratio of 0.77x against 1.01x a year earlier. That is a meaningful source of the cash flow improvement discussed below, and it is not repeatable indefinitely.

Goodwill and indefinite-lived intangibles together stand at $33,083 million, or 29.5% of total assets. The company states the goodwill increase primarily reflects appreciation of the Russian ruble and South African rand, and the acquired franchise rights increase relates to distribution rights for the Alani Nu brand. This is a balance sheet carrying nearly a third of its assets in items that are tested rather than transacted — and the prior-year comparison base is a live demonstration of what happens when those tests fail. Worth noting on the mechanism: the filing states the Q2 2025 Rockstar write-down followed a quantitative assessment triggered not only by weak business performance but also "in contemplation of the Celsius Transaction," so the charge reflected a specific strategic decision as much as a general demand deterioration.

Debt maturity and cost. During the 24 weeks PepsiCo issued €2.5 billion of notes: €500 million floating rate due February 2028, plus three fixed-coupon tranches — €650 million at 3.300% due February 2034, €850 million at 3.700% due February 2038, and €500 million at 4.150% due February 2047. The maturity profile is skewed long, with fixed coupons ranging from 3.300% to 4.150% and one floating-rate tranche at the short end. All were designated as net investment hedges against foreign subsidiary exposure. Against that, $1.6 billion of U.S. dollar notes and €0.5 billion of euro notes matured and were repaid. The company also replaced both of its revolving facilities with a new $5.0 billion five-year agreement expiring May 2031 and a new $5.0 billion 364-day agreement, with no borrowings outstanding under either.

This Form 10-Q contains no separate lease disclosure; refer to the 2025 Form 10-K for lease obligations.

1-2. Liability structure — financial versus operating

Financial debt totals $53,214 million (short-term $10,602 million plus long-term $42,612 million), up 8.2% from $49,182 million at year-end. Almost the entire increase sits in short-term obligations, which jumped 54.5% from $6,861 million — and the driver is disclosed plainly: $6.1 billion of commercial paper outstanding at June 13, 2026. This is working-capital financing, not a structural releveraging, and it is consistent with the receivable and inventory build described above. Net financial debt (financial debt less cash and short-term investments) is $42,498 million versus $39,652 million, up 7.2%.

Operating liabilities moved the other way. Accounts payable and other current liabilities declined 5.4%, to $24,504 million from $25,903 million. That combination — payables shrinking while receivables and inventory expand — is the mechanical reason short-term borrowing had to rise. Of those payables, $1.8 billion sit with suppliers participating in PepsiCo's voluntary supply chain finance programs, up from $1.7 billion at year-end 2025; the amount is small relative to the total and the half-year change is immaterial, but it is worth knowing that a portion of the payables balance is bank-intermediated.

The current ratio improved to 0.93x from 0.85x. PepsiCo runs structurally negative working capital, as most large consumer staples do, and this is not a liquidity concern given committed revolver capacity of $10.0 billion.

1-3. Capital structure

Total equity rose 8.4% to $22,270 million, but the composition tells a more interesting story than the total. Paid-in capital is essentially static — common stock at $23 million and capital in excess of par at $4,447 million versus $4,451 million — so every dollar of equity growth came from retained earnings and other comprehensive income.

Retained earnings rose $1,328 million to $74,116 million: $5,308 million of net income less $3,980 million of dividends declared. The payout ratio on declared dividends is 75.0% of first-half net income. Accumulated other comprehensive loss narrowed by $681 million to $(14,343) million from $(15,024) million. The driver is currency translation, which improved $874 million to $(12,620) million from $(13,494) million on appreciation of the euro, Mexican peso and Russian ruble; roughly $193 million of that gain was given back by other components, principally fair value changes on available-for-sale debt securities including the Celsius convertible preferred investment. Treasury stock deepened by $313 million net, to $(42,145) million.

That treasury balance is the structural fact of this balance sheet. PepsiCo carries $42,145 million of cumulative treasury stock against $74,116 million of retained earnings — a ratio of 57%, meaning buybacks alone have absorbed the equivalent of nearly 57 cents of every dollar ever retained, before dividends. Book equity of $22,270 million against $112,189 million of assets is a function of that history, not of weak profitability.


2. Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income

2-1. Headline results

ItemQ2 2025 ($M)Q2 2026 ($M)ChangeH1 2025 ($M)H1 2026 ($M)Change
Net revenue22,72624,181+6.4%40,64543,624+7.3%
Operating profit (GAAP)1,7894,023+125%4,3727,236+65%
Operating margin7.9%16.6%+877bp10.8%16.6%+583bp
Core operating profit3,9114,067+4.0%6,7007,117+6.2%
Core operating margin17.2%16.8%−40bp16.5%16.3%−15bp
Net income attributable to PepsiCo1,2632,981+136%3,0975,308+71%
Net margin5.6%12.3%+677bp7.6%12.2%+455bp
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.92$2.18+137%$2.25$3.88+72%
Core EPS$2.12$2.20+4%$3.59$3.81+6%
Effective tax rate18.6%22.0%+340bp20.2%21.7%+150bp

Sources: GAAP lines from the Form 10-Q; core lines from PepsiCo's Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K Exhibit 99.1). Core operating profit, core operating margin and core EPS are non-GAAP measures reported by PepsiCo. They exclude mark-to-market gains and losses on commodity derivatives, restructuring and impairment charges, acquisition- and divestiture-related charges and credits, and certain pension-related adjustments. GAAP figures are the basis of the analysis below; core figures are cited because they are the cleanest disclosed adjustment for the prior-year impairment.

The 125% GAAP operating profit increase decomposes almost entirely into a base effect. Q2 2025 carried $1,860 million of pre-tax impairment charges — $1,780 million against the Rockstar brand in the PBNA and EMEA segments and $80 million against Be & Cheery in Asia Pacific Foods, together $1,447 million after tax, or $1.05 per share. Add that back to the prior year and operating profit of $3,649 million compares with $4,023 million this quarter: +10.2%, not +125%. Apply PepsiCo's own broader core definition, which also normalises restructuring and deal charges in both periods, and the growth rate falls further to 4.0%.

Restructuring charges under the 2019 Productivity Plan fell to $49 million from $213 million in the quarter and to $182 million from $426 million for the half — a $244 million half-year tailwind that flatters GAAP operating profit without reflecting any change in underlying trading. The plan is expected to run to approximately $6.15 billion in total pre-tax charges through 2030, of which PFNA has absorbed $877 million and PBNA $788 million to date.

Three-year context. Consolidated net revenue ran $91,471 million in FY2023, $91,854 million in FY2024 and $93,925 million in FY2025 — a two-year compound growth rate of 1.3%. Operating profit went $11,986 million, $12,887 million, then $11,498 million, compounding at −2.1%; net income went $9,074 million, $9,578 million, $8,240 million. (Full-year figures are from PepsiCo's FY2025 Form 10-K, not this quarterly filing.) Adding back the $1,860 million Q2 impairment lifts FY2025 operating profit to $13,358 million, above FY2024 — a fairer read of the underlying trend, though it is a single-item adjustment and not a full normalisation of the year. Against that base, half-year revenue growth of 7.3% is a genuine acceleration — but it is an acceleration bought largely with currency translation and acquisition contribution rather than organic demand. In the second quarter alone, roughly four of the 6.4 points came from those two sources, leaving organic growth of 2.4%. Both the currency tailwind and the acquisition contribution annualise away.

Operating leverage is running negative. Revenue grew 6.4% in the quarter while core operating profit grew 4.0% — a ratio of 0.63x. On a core constant currency basis, EPS grew 1% against that same 6.4% revenue line. PepsiCo is converting top-line growth into earnings at less than a one-for-one rate, which is the opposite of what the productivity narrative implies.

The EPS bridge is almost pure earnings, not buyback. Weighted average diluted shares fell only to 1,369 million from 1,373 million, a 0.3% reduction. Net income rose 136% and EPS rose 137%; the share count explains only the roughly one-point gap between those two figures. Buybacks are not doing meaningful work in this EPS number.

One item runs the other way and deserves flagging. For the half, GAAP operating profit of $7,236 million exceeds core operating profit of $7,117 million. The reason is a $158 million pre-tax credit from acquisition- and divestiture-related items, of which $160 million of income sits in PBNA (partly offset by a $2 million charge in PFNA) and relates primarily to a downward remeasurement of the contingent consideration payable on the 2025 poppi acquisition. A reduction in the expected earn-out payout produces a P&L gain — so a $121 million after-tax benefit, worth $0.09 per share, arises from a lower assessed probability of hitting the acquired brand's performance thresholds. Excluded from core, correctly, but it is inside the GAAP number investors will see first.

The tax rate rose to 22.0% from 18.6%. Management attributes the increase to widespread 2026 implementation of the OECD model rules for a 15% global minimum tax across jurisdictions including EU member states, and guides to a core annual effective tax rate of approximately 22%. Because the driver is enacted legislation rather than a discrete item, this reads as a structural step-down in after-tax earnings power rather than a timing difference — though management has guided only to the current year, and the durability beyond FY2026 is not something the filing establishes.

2-2. The number the headline hides: PBNA volume

The GAAP EPS line is a base effect; the operating signal is in North American beverages. Per PepsiCo's Q2 2026 earnings release, PepsiCo Beverages North America grew net revenue 7% in the quarter — but 6 percentage points of that came from acquisitions net of divestitures, leaving organic revenue growth of 1%. Underneath it, PBNA organic volume declined 4%, including roughly a 0.5 percentage-point headwind from the case pack water business.

That is the whole thesis of this quarter in one line. The segment's reported growth is being manufactured by the poppi acquisition and the Alani Nu distribution rights — the same Alani Nu rights that show up on the balance sheet as the increase in acquired franchise rights discussed in section 1-1 — while the underlying case volume shrinks. It is not a global demand problem: on the same release, global convenient foods organic volume rose 3% and global beverages organic volume rose 2%, with international markets carrying the growth. The weakness is specifically North American beverages.

Three consequences follow from the analysis above. First, it explains the negative operating leverage: acquisition-sourced revenue arrives with acquisition-level margins and amortisation, not with the incremental drop-through of an extra case sold through an existing route. Second, it raises the stakes on the intangibles discussed in section 1-1 — poppi and Alani Nu are precisely the kind of recently acquired, indefinite-lived brand assets that get tested against forward cash flows, and PepsiCo's annual impairment assessment falls in the third quarter, the same test that produced the $1,860 million Rockstar charge a year ago. Third, it sits uncomfortably alongside the receivable build and management's disclosure about retailers "shifting traditional value propositions" and pressuring shelf space: falling volume plus rising receivables is the combination that warrants attention in Q3.

PepsiCo reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance of 2–4% organic revenue growth and 4–6% core constant currency EPS growth. With core constant currency EPS up 1% in the second quarter, the back half has to do the work. Press coverage of the release focused on the same tension — a revenue beat set against a soft core EPS print and the North America slump.


Disclaimer: This article is based on PepsiCo's Form 10-Q for the 12 and 24 weeks ended June 13, 2026, as filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, supplemented where explicitly noted by PepsiCo's Q2 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1) for non-GAAP core and organic measures, which do not appear in the 10-Q. All figures are as reported by the company. This is journalism and financial analysis, not investment advice; LineVest News is not a registered investment adviser and holds no mandate to recommend the purchase or sale of any security.

Go deeper than the headline

You just read what happened. Here's how to read what it means.

Free daily briefing

The day's reports, every morning — free

LineVest Daily lands in your inbox before the opening bell with the reports we published that day — what each company's latest 10-K or 10-Q actually says about the numbers, in plain English. Free, no card required.

Get LineVest Daily — free →
Order a report

This report, on any company you name

Apply this depth of research to a company you choose. We connect the selected filing’s financial detail with management choices, relevant industry evidence and the conditions that could change the business. English PDF by email within 3 hours.

Which company should we read?

$15 · one-time · PDF within 3 hours

Pick a company to continue

Independent journalism based on primary SEC filings — not investment advice. No brokerage affiliation.