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2026年9月20日日曜日
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Lowe's (LOW) Q1 FY2026: Revenue Jumps 10% but Acquisitions Lose $32M

執筆 MinJeKim

この記事の日本語訳は準備中です。以下は英語の原文です。

Lowe's revenue rose 10.3% to $23.08 billion, but that number says almost nothing about the home improvement cycle — $1.75 billion of the $2.15 billion increase, or 82%, came from two businesses the company bought in 2025 rather than from its stores. Strip them out and the retail chain grew 1.9%, on comparable sales of just 0.6%. The more revealing disclosure sits in the new segment table: the acquired units generated a $32 million operating loss on $1.75 billion of sales, while the core retail segment quietly expanded its operating margin 21 basis points to 12.13%. On a full-year basis, fiscal 2025 revenue of $86.29 billion — a figure from the company's annual filings, not this quarterly report — remains 11.1% below the fiscal 2022 peak of $97.06 billion. Roughly three years on, the housing cycle has still not recovered, and the company has now spent $10.1 billion buying its way into the professional channel while it waits for that turn.

(This report covers the quarter ended May 1, 2026 — the first quarter of fiscal 2026 — as filed on Form 10-Q dated May 28, 2026. All figures are from that filing unless otherwise noted.)


1. Consolidated Balance Sheet

1-1. Principal Asset Movements

ItemJan 30, 2026 ($M)May 1, 2026 ($M)Change %
Cash and cash equivalents982786-20.0
Receivables – net1,0901,151+5.6
Merchandise inventory – net17,30018,447+6.6
Property, less accumulated depreciation18,36218,254-0.6
Goodwill3,9453,9450.0
Intangible assets – net5,9085,807-1.7
Total assets54,14454,941+1.5

The year-over-year comparison is where the transformation shows. Goodwill went from $311 million a year ago to $3,945 million, and net intangibles from $274 million to $5,807 million. Together they now represent $9.75 billion, or 17.7% of total assets, against roughly 1% a year earlier. The inventory build of $1,147 million since year-end is ordinary spring seasonality, and property was essentially flat — this balance sheet grew through acquisition, not capital investment.

Because Lowe's reports under US GAAP, property sits at historical cost with no revaluation option, so the carrying value of an owned store base — the large majority of the 1,759 stores are owned, per the company's most recent annual report, with the leased remainder reflected in $4,182 million of operating lease right-of-use assets against $4,599 million of combined current and non-current lease liabilities under ASC 842 — bears no necessary relation to current market value. The reverse distortion applies to the intangibles: the $6,029 million gross definite-lived balance will amortize against reported earnings over useful lives of 15 to 20 years regardless of how the acquired businesses actually perform.

1-2. Debt Structure — Financial vs. Operating Liabilities

Financial debt totals $37.94 billion (short-term borrowings $380M, current maturities $810M, long-term debt $36,751M), down from $39.92 billion at year-end — a $1.98 billion reduction in one quarter, achieved by repaying $2.38 billion of bond maturities against $378 million of new commercial paper. Management explicitly frames this as progress against a deleveraging commitment following the acquisition spree.

Operating liabilities moved the other way. Accounts payable jumped to $11.98 billion from $9.76 billion, financing 64.9% of inventory versus 56.4% at year-end and 61.3% a year ago. Lowe's is funding its seasonal build with supplier credit rather than cash — an efficient move, but one that flatters operating cash flow in the first quarter and reverses later.

Maturity and pricing are manageable. The $2.0 billion 2025 Term Loan matures October 2028 at 4.661%, commercial paper carries a 3.84% weighted-average rate, and the September 2025 notes range from 3.950% to 4.850% across 2027–2035 maturities. Ratings are BBB+ (S&P) and Baa1 (Moody's), both stable, with $4.6 billion undrawn on revolving facilities plus $0.8 billion cash. One number deserves attention: the unsecured notes carry at $35.19 billion but were fair-valued at $32.07 billion, a $3.12 billion gap that reflects market rates sitting above Lowe's coupons.

1-3. Capital Structure

Lowe's operates with a $9.27 billion shareholders' deficit — a deliberate outcome of years of buybacks exceeding retained earnings, not distress. The deficit narrowed from $13.25 billion a year ago and from $9.92 billion at year-end, as $1,628 million of net earnings outpaced $673 million of dividends declared in the quarter and $365 million of repurchases charged to equity. (Both figures differ slightly from the cash flow statement — $674 million of dividends paid and $363 million of repurchases on a settlement-date basis — because Lowe's pays dividends in the quarter after they are declared, and settlement lags trade date.)

A structural detail matters here. Capital in excess of par fell to $68 million from $370 million, nearly exhausted by the quarter's buybacks. Under the company's stated policy, once additional paid-in capital is depleted, the excess of repurchase cost over par is charged directly to accumulated deficit. With $10.5 billion of repurchase authorization outstanding, further buybacks will now deepen the accumulated deficit line directly.


2. Consolidated Statement of Earnings

2-1. Core Profitability

ItemQ1 FY2025 ($M)Q1 FY2026 ($M)Change %
Net sales20,93023,078+10.3
Gross margin6,9867,543+8.0
Gross margin (%)33.3832.68-70bp
SG&A4,0464,423+9.3
Depreciation & amortization446566+26.9
Operating income2,4942,554+2.4
Operating margin (%)11.9211.07-85bp
Net earnings1,6411,628-0.8
Net margin (%)7.847.05-79bp
Diluted EPS ($)2.922.90-0.7

Revenue grew 10.3% while operating income grew 2.4% — operating leverage of roughly 0.23x, meaning each point of sales growth produced less than a quarter-point of profit growth. On its face this looks like a problem, but the segment table explains exactly why the consolidated view is misleading.

2-2. Where the Margin Actually Went

Q1 FY2026Retail Home ImprovementOther (FBM + ADG)Consolidated
Net sales ($M)21,3241,75423,078
Operating income ($M)2,586(32)2,554
Operating margin (%)12.13(1.82)11.07

This is the quarter's most important disclosure. The core retail segment grew sales 1.9% and operating income 3.7% — genuine positive operating leverage of about 1.96x — and lifted its margin from 11.92% to 12.13%. (The prior-year retail segment and consolidated figures are identical because neither acquisition had closed by May 2, 2025.) Every basis point of the 85bp consolidated margin decline traces to the acquired businesses, which are structurally lower-margin distribution operations and posted an outright operating loss.

Management attributes the 70bp gross margin decline and the 32bp D&A deleverage to "the operational cost structure of acquisitions" and acquisition intangible amortization respectively. Notably, consolidated SG&A leveraged 17 basis points — but management attributes that to the acquisitions' cost structure, not to store-level discipline: within the retail segment, SG&A actually deleveraged 33 basis points, to 19.66% of segment sales from 19.33%. The retail margin gain came instead from a 60-basis-point improvement in retail gross margin (cost of sales fell to 66.02% of segment sales from 66.62%), which more than offset the SG&A pressure at the store level.

Below the operating line, net interest rose 18.4% to $399 million on the September 2025 debt issuance and term loan, and the effective tax rate ticked up to 24.5% from 23.9%. Those two items converted a $60 million operating income gain into a $13 million net earnings decline.

On the non-GAAP figure: Lowe's reported adjusted diluted EPS of $3.03 against GAAP $2.90. The sole adjustment is $96 million of pre-tax acquisition intangible amortization ($0.13 per share after tax). This is a real, recurring, cash-purchased expense that will persist for 15 to 20 years — it is a legitimate way to isolate operating trends, but it is not a measure of economic earnings.


3. Consolidated Cash Flows

ItemQ1 FY2025 ($M)Q1 FY2026 ($M)Change
Operating activities3,3793,350-29
Investing activities(533)(501)+32
Financing activities(1,553)(3,045)-1,492
Ending cash3,054786-2,268

Free cash flow was $2,829 million ($3,350M operating less $521M capital expenditures), against $2,861 million a year ago — essentially flat, and covering the $674 million dividend more than four times over. Capital expenditures ran at 2.3% of sales, with full-year guidance of approximately $2.5 billion, indicating maintenance-and-initiative spending rather than an expansion cycle.

Earnings quality is strong at 2.06x operating cash flow to net earnings, identical to the prior year. The caveat is that this ratio is seasonally inflated: the $2,212 million accounts payable inflow is the dominant driver, and that reverses through the year. The $1,145 million inventory outflow partly offsets it.

The financing swing tells the real story. Debt repayment more than tripled to $2,376 million from $778 million and buybacks rose to $363 million from $112 million; together with $674 million of dividends paid, and net of $378 million of new commercial paper, those items account for $3,035 million of the $3,045 million total financing outflow that drew cash down to $786 million from $3,054 million a year ago. Lowe's is prioritizing deleveraging over cash accumulation, which is the correct sequencing after $10.1 billion of debt-funded M&A — $8.8 billion for FBM in October 2025 and $1.3 billion for ADG in June 2025, per Note 2 of the filing.


4. What Else Matters

Comparable sales remain weak beneath the headline. The 0.6% comp increase consisted of a 1.5% rise in comparable average ticket offset by a 0.9% decline in comparable customer transactions. On a total-store basis, average ticket rose 2.4% to $107.65 from $105.12 while total customer transactions fell to 198 million from 199 million. Critically, the filing states t

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