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E-Mart and Lotte Shopping Race to Lock In Homeplus Customers as Korea Hypermarket Shifts to Duopoly

執筆 MinJeKim0 回閲覧

この記事の日本語訳は準備中です。以下は英語の原文です。

E-Mart and Lotte Shopping Race to Lock In Homeplus Customers as Korea Hypermarket Shifts to Duopoly

With Homeplus facing liquidation after closing 37 stores in June, E-Mart (139480.KS) and Lotte Shopping (023530.KS) are already posting double-digit sales gains at nearby locations — early evidence that Korea's hypermarket sector is restructuring into a two-player market for the first time in two decades.

Part A: Homeplus's Collapse — The Court Decision That Changes the Map

Seoul's Rehabilitation Court on July 3, 2026 formally terminated Homeplus's corporate rehabilitation proceedings, placing Korea's No. 2 hypermarket chain on the brink of liquidation. Homeplus has until July 20 to file an appeal backed by emergency financing; absent that, formal liquidation proceeds.

The scale of contraction is already visible. In June, Homeplus shuttered 37 of its original 104 stores — a 36% reduction in a single month — leaving 67 locations open. The collapse followed parent MBK Partners' failure to secure a minimum KRW 200 billion (approx. USD 145 million) in debtor-in-possession financing. Seoul's court found no viable restructuring path.

Part B: E-Mart and Lotte Shopping — Capturing the Displacement

Customer migration is already measurable. E-Mart's Changdong and Mukdong branches in Seoul recorded 11.4% year-on-year sales growth during May 10–31 — the period immediately following the closure of nearby Homeplus stores. Lotte Mart outlets near shuttered Homeplus locations averaged 9% sales gains, with some branches exceeding 20%.

Q1 2026 results show a sector in recovery ahead of the full benefit arriving. E-Mart (standalone basis) reported Q1 revenue of KRW 4.7152 trillion (+1.9% YoY) and operating profit of KRW 146.3 billion (+9.7% YoY) — the highest first-quarter operating profit in eight years. Lotte Mart's Q1 operating profit rose 20.2% to KRW 33.8 billion. Both improvements occurred before the bulk of Homeplus's June closures hit the data.

Street analysts are upgrading the read-through. Samsung Securities noted that Homeplus store closures are translating directly into measurable same-store sales acceleration for E-Mart. Hanwha Investment Securities separately flagged that the rehabilitation termination removes lingering uncertainty that had capped the competitor recovery thesis.

Both chains are investing to make gains permanent. E-Mart is accelerating its Traders warehouse-format expansion — a Costco-style club model — alongside deeper SSG.COM e-commerce integration. Lotte Mart is refurbishing stores and investing in private-label (PB) product development and same-day delivery, moves calibrated to retain newly arrived customers rather than simply absorb them.

The structural shift is significant. Korea's hypermarket sector is consolidating from a three-player market — E-Mart, Lotte, Homeplus — to a de facto duopoly. With Homeplus at 67 and declining stores, the addressable redistribution disproportionately favors both incumbents. E-Mart, with broader geographic overlap with Homeplus's former footprint, is positioned to capture more of the customer base; Lotte Shopping's hypermarket division may represent the higher-leverage read if remaining Homeplus stores continue to close through H2 2026.

The full earnings benefit is expected to materialize in Q2 and Q3 2026, as displaced shoppers form new routines. If Homeplus ultimately liquidates entirely, the two incumbents are estimated to absorb roughly 90% of its annual revenue — upside not yet fully reflected at current multiples.


Sources: Chosunbiz

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