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Samsung Electronics Weighs KRW 90 Trillion Buyback as Memory Export Boom Signals Q2 Earnings Beat

執筆 MinJeKim0 回閲覧

この記事の日本語訳は準備中です。以下は英語の原文です。

Samsung Electronics Weighs KRW 90 Trillion Buyback as Memory Export Boom Signals Q2 Earnings Beat

Samsung Electronics Co. (005930.KS) surged 9.84% on Wednesday after Yonhap News Agency reported the chipmaker is considering a buyback of up to KRW 90 trillion (USD 59 billion) in treasury shares — a scale that would dwarf any previous Korean corporate capital-return initiative and make it one of the largest buyback programmes in global semiconductor history.

The announcement restored Samsung to South Korea's No. 1 common-share market-capitalisation ranking, which it had briefly ceded to AI-memory rival SK Hynix. SK Hynix rose a comparatively modest 0.98% on the same day. Samsung's management tempered expectations, stating the company was "considering" the plan but that "no details including timing or size of the buyback had been decided."

Buyback Mechanics: Employee Equity Compensation at the Core

According to people familiar with the proposal, the repurchased treasury shares would primarily fund Samsung's stock-based employee-compensation plans introduced in October 2025. These include a Performance Stock Unit (PSU) programme and a chip-division bonus scheme calibrated at approximately 10.5% of annual operating profit. Under the proposed vesting structure, employees could sell one-third of awarded shares immediately upon receipt, with the remaining tranches unlocking after one and two-year holding periods.

The architecture mirrors Western big-tech equity practices and addresses a long-standing internal tension: unlike U.S. semiconductor peers such as Qualcomm or Broadcom, Samsung has historically concentrated bonus payments in cash, limiting employee alignment with long-run equity value.

Memory Cycle Provides the Earnings Firepower

The buyback deliberations come against an extraordinary memory-pricing backdrop. South Korea's May 2026 NAND flash export unit price surged 822.4% year-on-year to USD 153,384 per kilogram. Combined April–May memory semiconductor exports reached USD 34.91 billion (+342.3% YoY), with DRAM alone accounting for USD 22.1 billion (+380.6%) and NAND contributing USD 2.34 billion (+352.1%).

Analysts at Nomura raised their Samsung Electronics 12-month target price to KRW 670,000 from KRW 590,000, citing stronger-than-expected Q2 Device Solutions margins and noting that the bonus-cost impact on full-year earnings would be "lower than the market fears." The brokerage also highlighted a 96.2% historical correlation between chip-plant export data and Samsung's Device Solutions revenue, suggesting Q2 2026 results are on track to beat the Street consensus.

Shareholder-Value Catalyst in Focus

If confirmed at the reported scale, the buyback would represent a fundamental shift in Samsung's capital-allocation doctrine. The company currently holds roughly KRW 95 trillion in net cash — one of the largest corporate cash hoards in Asia — and has faced recurring criticism from both activist shareholders and institutional investors over its reluctance to return capital.

Samsung has not disclosed a board-meeting timeline for a formal decision. Continued clarity on the programme's scale and cadence is expected to remain a key near-term catalyst for Korea's largest company by market capitalisation.

Sources: Yonhap News Agency, Seeking Alpha, Hankyung, MK Economy, Nomura Research

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