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Monday, October 5, 2026
Back to HomeStock AnalysisAll Lockheed Martin coverage

Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q2 2026: EPS $7.94, Record $230B Backlog

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Lockheed Martin's profit rebound is real, but it is smaller than the headline suggests. Diluted earnings per share came in at $7.94 against $1.46 a year ago, when a single quarter absorbed $1.6 billion of program losses ($950 million on an Aeronautics classified program, $570 million on the Canadian Maritime Helicopter Program, and $95 million on the Turkish Utility Helicopter Program). Strip out the cumulative contract adjustments that swung both quarters, and underlying earnings per share rose roughly 33% — a solid result, not a five-fold one. The more durable news sits below the income statement: backlog jumped $36.8 billion in six months to a record $230.4 billion, and the company has committed $3.45 billion to an undersea warfare acquisition it plans to fund with a mix of cash on hand and new financing — a commitment equal to roughly 91 percent of its cash balance.


1. Consolidated Balance Sheet

1-1. Major asset items

ItemDec 31, 2025 ($M)Jun 28, 2026 ($M)Change %
Cash and cash equivalents4,1213,791-8.0%
Receivables, net3,9013,356-14.0%
Contract assets13,00116,038+23.4%
Inventories3,5244,411+25.2%
Property, plant and equipment, net11,29211,390+0.9%
Goodwill11,31411,298-0.1%
Intangible assets, net1,8871,787-5.3%
Total assets59,84062,450+4.4%

The whole balance sheet story is in two lines. Contract assets rose 23.4% and inventories rose 25.2%, while six-month sales grew only 5.4%. Contract assets are work already recognized as revenue but not yet billed to the customer. A $3.0 billion build in six months means Lockheed is delivering value faster than it is collecting cash for it. The filing attributes the increase to the F-35 program at Aeronautics and to tactical and strike missiles at MFC.

Inventories tell a related story. Work-in-process climbed from $2,667 million to $3,528 million, and $1.9 billion of that balance is pre-contract cost — spending incurred before a contract is formally awarded, up from $1.5 billion at year-end. The filing identifies these as sitting primarily on the classified contracts, F-35 and F-16 programs at Aeronautics and Sikorsky programs at RMS. Those costs sit on the balance sheet on the judgment that the award is probable. Receivables actually fell 14.0%, so this is not a collection problem. It is a billing-milestone and contract-definitization problem.

On the equity side, retained earnings rose from $14,034 million to $15,759 million — an increase of $1,725 million, being net earnings of $3,324 million less roughly $1.6 billion of dividends declared. Accumulated other comprehensive loss narrowed slightly, from -$7,542 million to -$7,468 million, helped by $124 million (pre-tax) of pension actuarial loss amortization reclassified into earnings; the net movement after tax and offsetting currency effects was $74 million. The unusual signal is additional paid-in capital: it was exactly zero at December 31 and $247 million at June 28. Lockheed retires repurchased shares against paid-in capital first and then against retained earnings. A zero balance means buybacks had fully consumed it. The rebuild to $247 million is the accounting fingerprint of a buyback pause.

On debt maturity, current maturities of long-term debt went from $1,168 million to zero after repayment. As of the balance sheet date nothing is due within twelve months. Outstanding principal is $21.7 billion versus $22.9 billion at year-end; net of $1.2 billion of unamortized discounts and issuance costs at both dates, that is the $20.5 billion carrying value on the balance sheet. Estimated fair value of the debt fell to $20.5 billion from $22.0 billion at year-end and now sits essentially at carrying value. The average coupon is not disclosed in this interim filing.

1-2. Financial debt versus operating liabilities

Financial debt is $20,538 million of carrying value, all long-term, down from $21,700 million including current maturities at year-end. (Note the coincidence of figures: the $21.7 billion cited above is the current principal outstanding, while $21,700 million here is the year-end carrying total — different measures that happen to round alike.) Operating liabilities moved the other way. Accounts payable jumped 40.2% to $4,915 million, and contract liabilities — customer advances and billings ahead of revenue — rose 6.2% to $12,151 million. Together with accrued salaries, operating liabilities total roughly $20.1 billion against $18.3 billion at year-end.

That mix matters. Lockheed reduced interest-bearing debt while extending payables and taking in more customer cash. Contract liabilities exceeding $12 billion are effectively an interest-free funding source from the U.S. government and allied customers. The filing notes payments received ahead of revenue on the F-16 program as the main driver.

1-3. Capital structure

Total stockholders' equity is $8,768 million against total assets of $62,450 million — an equity ratio of 14.0%. Liabilities are 6.1 times equity. This is not distress. It is the arithmetic of a decade of share retirement plus a $7,431 million pension-related accumulated loss sitting in equity. Paid-in capital of $247 million against retained earnings of $15,759 million shows how little of this company's book equity came from shareholders and how much came from retained profit that was then largely returned.

Equity still rose 30.5% in six months, from $6,721 million. Almost all of that is the absence of buybacks combined with a profitable half-year.


2. Consolidated Statement of Earnings

2-1. Core profit metrics

ItemQ2 2025 ($M)Q2 2026 ($M)6M 2025 ($M)6M 2026 ($M)
Net sales18,15520,06336,11838,084
Consolidated operating profit7482,4793,1204,542
Operating margin (%)4.1%12.4%8.6%11.9%
Net earnings3421,8362,0543,324
Net margin (%)1.9%9.2%5.7%8.7%
Diluted EPS ($)1.467.948.7514.38

Sales grew 10.5% in the quarter. Missiles and Fire Control led at +19.5%, Aeronautics added 9.3%, Rotary and Mission Systems 9.0%, and Space 5.7%. Operating margin of 12.4% compares to a full-year 10.3% in 2025 and 9.9% in 2024, and to a 12.6–14.3% range across 2019 through 2023 (annual figures drawn from Lockheed's prior-year Form 10-K filings, not this interim report). The company is climbing back toward its pre-charge norm, not exceeding it.

The reported operating leverage — profit up 231% on sales up 10.5% — is meaningless as a measure of the business. It is a base effect. A cleaner read comes from removing cumulative profit booking rate adjustments, which are catch-up entries recorded when a contract's lifetime cost estimate changes. Critically, these adjustments move sales as well as profit, which is why the adjusted growth rate below is lower than the reported 10.5%: they added $408 million of sales and $375 million of segment operating profit this quarter, and subtracted $361 million of sales and $1,045 million of profit a year ago. Excluding them from both lines in both periods, segment operating profit rose from $1,616 million to $1,787 million, up 10.6%, on adjusted sales of $18,516 million rising to $19,655 million, up 6.2%. That is operating leverage of about 1.7 times — real, modest, and believable. Segment margin on the same basis improved from 8.73% to 9.09%, an increase of 0.36 percentage points.

The same discipline applies to earnings per share. Profit booking adjustments contributed $1.28 of this quarter's $7.94 and cost $3.53 a year ago. On a comparable basis, EPS moved from roughly $4.99 to $6.66, up about 33%. For the six months the gap narrows further: adjustments added $2.02 in 2026 and cost $1.90 in 2025, taking EPS from $10.65 to $12.36, up about 16%.

Share count did almost none of the work. Diluted shares averaged 231.1 million against 234.3 million, a 1.4% reduction from repurchases executed in 2025. Holding the share count flat, EPS would have been $7.84 — so buybacks contributed about $0.10 of the $6.48 increase. There were no repurchases at all in the first half of 2026.

Also worth noting: the effective tax rate fell to 15.7% from 18.0% for the quarter (15.9% versus 16.3% for the six months), which the filing attributes largely to lower interest expense on an uncertain tax position and to the reach-forward losses recognized in 2025.

2-2. Cost structure and segment mix

The interim filing does not disaggregate operating costs into fixed and variable components, and the FASB's new expense disaggregation standard (ASU 2024-03, issued November 2024) is not effective for Lockheed until annual reporting periods beginning January 1, 2027, with interim periods a year later. What the filing does show is segment-level profitability.

SegmentQ2 2025 sales / profit ($M)Q2 2026 sales / profit ($M)Margin 2025 → 2026
Aeronautics7,420 / (98)8,112 / 760-1.3% → 9.4%
Missiles and Fire Control3,433 / 4794,101 / 59414.0% → 14.5%
Rotary and Mission Systems3,995 / (172)4,354 / 437-4.3% → 10.0%
Space3,307 / 3623,496 / 37110.9% → 10.6%
Total segments18,155 / 57120,063 / 2,1623.1% → 10.8%

Aeronautics and RMS were the two segments that took last year's charges, and they are the two that swung. MFC is the quality story: the highest margin in the portfolio, expanding, and growing sales fastest.

One structural caveat on consolidated margin. Of the $2,479 million consolidated operating profit, $422 million came from the FAS/CAS pension operating adjustment — the gap between pension cost recovered through government contract pricing and pension service cost under U.S. GAAP. That is 17% of consolidated operating profit and it is an accounting-driven, non-operational item. It also makes direct margin comparison against IFRS-reporting European defense peers unreliable.


3. Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

Item (six months)2025 ($M)2026 ($M)Change
Operating cash flow1,6103,455+114.6%
Investing cash flow(1,145)(890)Outflow narrowed
Financing cash flow(1,655)(2,895)Outflow widened
Ending cash1,2933,791+193.2%

Free cash flow — operating cash flow less capital expenditure — was $2,626 million ($3,455M less $829M) for the six months, against $805 million a year earlier. That covers the $1,612 million of dividends paid 1.6 times. Capital expenditure was 2.2% of sales, effectively flat year over year at $829 million versus $805 million. This is maintenance-and-capacity spending, not a build cycle.

Earnings quality improved. Operating cash flow was 1.04 times net earnings, up from 0.78 times. A ratio at or above 1.0 is the normal state for a healthy business. Getting there took work: contract assets consumed $3,037 million and inventories $887 million, offset by a $545 million receivables release, $1,409 million more payables, and $711 million of contract liabilities. Put plainly, the cash came from paying suppliers later and collecting customer advances, not from converting the unbilled balance.

The financing line is the clearest statement of intent. Lockheed repaid $1,168 million of debt, paid $1,612 million in dividends, and repurchased zero stock. A year earlier it drew $1,449 million of commercial paper and bought back $1,250 million of shares. Cash is being conserved and leverage reduced — consistent with the $3.45 billion acquisition of Ultra Maritime Solutions, an undersea warfare and anti-submarine specialist, announced July 6, 2026, eight days after the quarter closed and expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026 subject to regulatory approval.


4. Additional Analysis

Backlog of $230.4 billion, and the asterisk on it. Backlog grew $36.8 billion in six months, roughly three times trailing twelve-month sales. Lockheed expects to convert about 30% within twelve months and 50% within twenty-four. Thirty percent of $230.4 billion is about $69 billion — but that window converts over the next twelve months from June 28, 2026, spanning the second half of 2026 and the first half of 2027, not the full calendar year. With $38,084 million already recognized in the first half of 2026, only about $42.7 billion of the $79.75–81.75 billion full-year guidance remains to be earned this year; the $69 billion of near-term convertible backlog is roughly 1.6 times that amount, more than enough to cover the rest of 2026. The asterisk: the filing attributes the increase primarily to an undefinitized contractual action (UCA) awarded for the THAAD program at MFC, an award management sized at roughly $35 billion in its earnings commentary. Undefinitized means the pri

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