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2026년 8월 19일 수요일
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Marvell Issues Google Warrant to Buy Up to $12.2B in Shares in Custom AI Chip Deal

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Marvell Issues Google Warrant to Buy Up to $12.2B in Shares in Custom AI Chip Deal

TL;DR - Marvell Technology (MRVL) issued Google (GOOGL) a warrant on August 18, 2026 to buy up to 58.97 million Marvell shares at $206.58 each — aggregate exercise cost of approximately $12.2 billion; the 58.97 million shares represent approximately 6.3% of Marvell on a post-exercise diluted basis - The warrant vests through two mechanisms: 1.36 million shares on a quarterly time schedule (year 1), plus 240 tranches totaling ~57.61 million remaining shares tied to $500 million chip-purchase milestones through the end of Marvell fiscal 2033 (approximately late January 2033); the warrant's exercise window extends to August 18, 2033; all tranches vesting implies $120 billion in cumulative chip purchases - Chips covered: AI inference accelerators, storage controllers, network interface controllers, memory interface controllers, and near-memory compute — all attached to Google's TPU ecosystem - MRVL surged approximately 8% in regular session trading on August 19; Broadcom (AVGO), Google's primary TPU co-design partner, fell approximately 5%, with Marvell's expanded Google role among the factors cited by investors - Google carries no mandatory purchase obligation; the warrant aligns buying incentives with equity upside rather than creating a binding spend commitment


Part A: Deal Terms and Structure

Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL) disclosed on August 19, 2026, that it had signed a commercial chip-supply agreement with Google — a unit of Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) — on July 29, 2026, and issued Google a related warrant on August 18, 2026. The warrant gives Google the option to accumulate a major equity stake in Marvell in exchange for sustained chip purchasing volumes.

Key terms from Marvell's 8-K SEC filing:

ParameterDetail
Shares under warrant58,970,907 MRVL common shares
Exercise price per share$206.58
Aggregate exercise cost (if fully exercised)approximately $12.18 billion
Potential Google ownership (post-exercise dilution)approximately 6.3% of Marvell
Commercial agreement dateJuly 29, 2026
Warrant issuance dateAugust 18, 2026
Warrant expirationAugust 18, 2033

The warrant vests through two mechanisms. First, 1.36 million shares vest on a time-based schedule — equal quarterly installments through the first year. The remaining 57.61 million shares vest in 240 tranches: one tranche unlocks for each $500 million in Custom Products revenue Marvell records from Google purchases, running from Q3 fiscal 2027 through the end of Marvell's fiscal year 2033 (which ends approximately late January 2033). The warrant itself expires on calendar August 18, 2033, providing an additional approximately 6-7 months to exercise vested shares.

If every tranche vests, the 240 x $500 million structure implies $120 billion in cumulative chip purchases from Google — a figure that would far exceed Marvell's current annual revenue run rate — making partial vesting the realistic base case.

Products covered by the commercial agreement span five categories aligned with Google's tensor processing unit (TPU) ecosystem: - AI inference accelerators - Storage controllers - Network interface controllers (NICs) - Memory interface controllers - Near-memory compute

An important contractual nuance: Google carries no mandatory purchase obligation. The warrant aligns Google's buying incentives with equity upside but does not guarantee any minimum spend level.


Part B: Strategic Implications for Investors

1. Marvell Formally Enters Google's Multi-Partner Custom Silicon Ecosystem

Google's custom AI chip supply chain already involved multiple partners before this deal. Broadcom has served as Google's primary TPU co-design partner under a commercial agreement extending through approximately 2031. MediaTek had also been engaged on related programs. Industry reporting has described Google as operating a four-partner custom chip supply chain — with Broadcom, MediaTek, and Marvell among the named partners. What this announcement formalizes is the scale of Marvell's role: the $12.2 billion aggregate exercise cost represents one of the largest equity-linked chip supply structures disclosed in the semiconductor industry, elevating Marvell into the first tier of Google's custom silicon partners.

Broadcom's stock fell approximately 5% on August 19, driven in part by investors recalibrating the breadth of Marvell's footprint inside Google's infrastructure budget and the competitive implications for Broadcom's post-2031 renewal talks. Other factors — including broader AI-infrastructure financing concerns — also contributed to the move.

2. The $120 Billion Vesting Threshold Is an Incentive, Not a Revenue Forecast

The 240 x $500M structure creates a cumulative $120 billion purchasing threshold: each $500 million Google spends on Marvell chips unlocks one additional warrant tranche. This is a vesting hurdle — the warrant stops vesting once all 240 tranches are granted. Reaching the full $120B within the vesting window (Q3 FY2027 to end of FY2033) would require sustained purchases far beyond Marvell's current total revenue, making partial vesting the realistic base case. Google has no obligation to reach that level.

A partial-vesting scenario — perhaps representing $10-30 billion in cumulative chip purchases over the agreement's life — would still mark a meaningful structural shift in Google's custom silicon sourcing and significant incremental revenue for Marvell.

3. Vesting Architecture Ties the Majority of Google's Equity Access to Commercial Performance

Of the 58.97 million warrant shares, only 1.36 million (approximately 2.3%) vest on a quarterly time schedule in year one, regardless of chip purchases. The remaining 57.61 million shares — 97.7% of the grant — vest exclusively when Google achieves $500 million revenue tranches. On August 19, Marvell shares gained approximately 8% in regular session trading. The warrant was issued on August 18, 2026, when Marvell's closing price was approximately $216 — already above the $206.58 exercise price, meaning the warrant was in the money from issuance. As shares vest in quarterly installments (beginning approximately November 2026 for the time-based tranche), holders may exercise against the prevailing market price of each future date. However, the vast majority of Google's potential equity stake requires sustained commercial commitment before Google can exercise it.

4. Near-Memory Compute: The Forward-Looking Detail

Among the five chip categories listed, near-memory compute stands out as architecturally distinct. Near-memory compute places logic circuits adjacent to memory stacks (for example, on a base die beneath an HBM stack or on-package near DRAM), reducing data-movement latency — a bottleneck in large-model inference workloads. Its explicit inclusion signals Google is designing hardware for next-generation AI inference architectures, not merely extending current TPU programs.

5. Google's Capital Position Accommodates Multiple Strategic Partnerships

Alphabet raised its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $195-205 billion at its Q2 2026 earnings, with the majority directed at AI infrastructure. At that scale, Google can maintain its Broadcom TPU relationship through 2031, continue other supplier engagements, and simultaneously deepen its Marvell partnership without material trade-offs between them.

For Marvell investors, the warrant structure confirms demand commitment from one of the world's most capital-intensive technology companies, with 97.7% of the equity grant directly tied to purchasing behavior. For Broadcom investors, the message is that Google's custom silicon supply chain continues to deepen its diversification, and future contract renewals will face a more competitive backdrop.

6. Equity-for-Chips: A Pattern in AI Infrastructure Supply

This deal reflects a growing pattern: hyperscalers structuring equity optionality for major chip suppliers rather than relying solely on purchase orders. The structure gives Marvell a demand anchor for capacity planning while giving Google a direct financial stake in its supplier's success. If Google exercises the warrant in full over time, it would hold a significant ownership position in Marvell, creating a governance relationship that reinforces the commercial partnership.


Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRVL) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) are publicly traded on the Nasdaq. This article is for informational and journalistic purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Sources - Marvell 8-K SEC Filing via StockTitan - Bloomberg: Marvell Gives Google Right to Buy Up to $12.2 Billion in Shares (August 19, 2026) - Yahoo Finance: Marvell grants Google $12.2B stake option in custom AI chip deal - The Next Web: Google assembles four-partner chip supply chain with Broadcom, MediaTek, Marvell (to challenge Nvidia in inference) - Tom's Hardware: Custom AI ASIC State of Play (May 2026) - 24/7 Wall St: Broadcom Falls 5% as Marvell Lands Google Custom Chip Deal (August 19, 2026) - MLQ AI / Alphabet Q2 2026 capex guidance raised to $195-205B - Data Center Dynamics: Broadcom to develop Google TPUs until 2031

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